I’m not exactly sure how you’d do it, to tell you the truth. If you know how or whatever, feel free to post it on your blog. If you want to try to walk me through it, comment here or email me if you’d like (”contact” up top). It may be time consuming or not really practical … I’m not sure. Thanks.

-B

That’s one of the things I worried about with this theme — for some reason, it doesn’t show a comment link if there are no comments on that post. For future reference, just click the title of the post, and then the comment box will appear at the bottom.

Anyway, yeah, there’s definitely a risk with having guys like Prior and Wolf — I’m sure the Padres know that. The caveat is that playing time projections are tough, and it’s probably (er, obviously) critical for the Padres to throughly investigate guys like Wolf and Prior medically. They could easily beat the playing time projections if they’re “healthier than their past innings would indicate.”

That said, I’m not expecting a ton, at least innings-wise. At least guys like Germano and Hensley are serviceable, because they’ll most likely be needed some.

I think the first thing I’m going to do is see if this is actually statistically significant (not this particularly, but the whole splits thing we’ve been talking about with Khalil). I’ve got to brush off the old statistics book there, but I’ll see what I can do. I’ve got to see if this is more than just randomness or whatever (which I assume it’s not) before I keep going along this path.

The idea about looking at similar players (in terms of balls in play) is a pretty good one, I think. That way we’d increase the sample quite a bit, while still looking at somewhat similar players. Another thing to think about down the line here.

By the way, if anyone is good at statistics, feel free to let me know how you’d figure out if Greene’s splits are significant (I think I know the basics, but I’m not sure).

The thing about larger OFs that would seem to favor Khalil is his ability to hit gappers. One of the things I’ve noticed as Khalil has matured as a slugger is that he’s not hitting the towering drives that he did as a rookie (I think at one point he was the only major leaguer to park one on Western Metal during a game). In 2007, perhaps more than any other year, I distinctly remember Khalil hitting more linedrive-type homeruns. His shots in Milwaukee in September are a good example of this.

Hmmm, THT’s LD stats don’t seem to support my LD theory, as he posted the lowest LD rate of his career in 07 (17.8%). His high was 22.1 in 05.

So I’m not really sure what to think. At this point, maybe we could try to find hitters who have a similar swing/style to Khalil and exmaine how they’ve done in large and small parks to get a better comp?