Greene trade analysis
December 4th, 2008 | Published in Khalil Greene, Padres, baseball, links, trades | 3 Comments
edit: added a bunch more links, mostly Padres ones; check the comments for another.
I’ve mentioned a time or two here that this blog is far from a new source, and considering the deal happened last night, this post isn’t really much different. But I figured I’d toss out a few links on the Greene trade — I’ll (hopefully) have my own “analysis” up within the next few days. Here are the links:
Pads blogs
Cards blogs
- Viva El Birdos
- Future Redbirds (the post is about Mark Worrell, not the trade specifically)
Saber blogs
- Beyond The Boxscore (post written before trade actually happened; they’ve got more comin’)
Okay, I thought I’d find more … I’ll add them as I find them. Feel free to discuss the deal here, if you’d like.
December 4th, 2008 at 11:54 pm (#)
Here’s another, more recent look at Worrell at Future Redbirds
http://www.futureredbirds.net/2008/11/25/mr-unconvential/
December 5th, 2008 at 12:16 am (#)
I like Greene to rebound and post something near a .250/.315/.440-like line in St. Louis next year. The Pads are in rebuilding mode, and the PTBNL is still unnamed, but I’m not so sure that they come out winners on this. That’s just on the surface. If you take Greene’s Marcels wOBA and convert to runs and add in the CHONE defensive projections, and convert to WAR, you get basically 2.08. Add in 0.5 for positional adjustment and you get +2.58 WAR = $12.9 million on a 1 year deal. I’m not so sure that’s worth a cost controlled reliever and PTBNL.
December 5th, 2008 at 5:22 pm (#)
Thanks, guys; comments got hung up in the spam-filter for some reason.
erik, good stuff. I like what I’m reading about Worrell so far.
Mike, cool. That’s just about the same thing I’m going to do. The number you got feels about right, too.