I’ll be here until about 6 (est) and I’ll try to occasionally update this as the Pads make their picks and the draft unfolds. Padman told me he’s going to try to have a post up on the draft probably tomorrow night. Please feel free to use the comment section as much as you’d like — that’s what this post is here for.
Geoff Young at Ducksnorts has pretty much everything you’d want to know about the draft in his most recent post. If I followed it closely enough, I’d make a “wish list” … anyway, I will say that it will be interesting if Anthony Hewitt falls to #23, although I’d still be surprised if the Padres took him.
Update, 2:07 (est): Karl Ravech gets the first laugh out of me: on Steve Phillips (paraphrased) — “a lot of people didn’t realize you actually played the game, they thought it was just your intelligence.”
3:25: Holy cow. I’m no mechanics expert, but Brett Wallace looks like the most awkward fielder/runner, um, ever. A great hitter, obviously, and that’s why he’s a prospect. Ain’t gonna be sellin’ jeans in St. Louis, though.
3:57: BP’s draft roundtable is a very entertaining read. Goldstein, Smith, a bunch of other BP guys, reader comments/questions, etc.
… Cashner is off the board to the Cubs. I’d still be real happy with taking Hewitt if he’s there; it would be a major change of pace, and if nothing else, a fun guy to follow. That said, I’d still be shocked if they take him …
4:10: Haven’t heard anything, but I think the Mets take Hewitt …
4:12: Nope! Well, here we go. The Padres are up. I honestly have no idea who they’re going to take … and I won’t try to guess again : )
4:38: Well, there it is … Allan Dykstra. Didn’t hear his name much this high, but I actually don’t mind the pick (keeping in mind, I don’t know what the hell I’m talking about). I like the fact that he’s big (6-5, 240 or something) and obviously has a chance to hit for some big time power. Goldstein (for the BP roundtable linked above):
This is surprisingly high. Most saw him as a sup 1st or 2nd rounder. TONS of raw power, not sure where he fits in that organization, but this is defnitely a Grady Fuson type pick.
Couple of Wake Forest numbers from Boyd’s World: Park factor (04-07): 101 — so no major park effects to consider. Strength of schedule: 39 — That’s obviously relatively low when you’re talking about almost 300 teams. Of course, what we really want, when looking at a hitter, is strength of opponents pitching staff, which I don’t have. But it’s a good sign that Wake played good teams, likely making Dykstra’s numbers look better than they already do (relative to other college players).
I want to see his numbers, but, what do you know, I can’t get the link to work on the Wake Forest web site. I hate the setup of college sports sites.
Anyway, fill me in. What are your thoughts on the pick?
4:55: Thanks, Peter Friberg! Dykstra’s numbers:
Fresh: .324/.479/.670 15 HR, 51/32 BB/SO ratio
Soph: .310/.479/.615 18 HR, 57/33 BB/SO ratio
Jr.: .323/.519/.645 16 HR, 62/45 BB/SO ratio
Couple of things before I bolt … I don’t care that he plays 1b and we have Gonzalez and Blanks. By the time he’s ready (2-3 years down the road or so?), so much can happen … if he works out, he’ll find a place on the field or the Padres will find a way to extract value out of him (via trade).
Second thing: I hear a lot of people get upset when a guy is picked where he isn’t expected to go (by BA, BP, Sickels, etc.). If a team makes their selections based on what’s known by the public (i.e., what those guys say), how the heck are they supposed to gain any advantage over the competition? Maybe SD has a proprietary measure that has Dykstra as one of the best college hitters in the draft … or something like that. BA/BP likely isn’t going to know that (and neither are we). Anyway, that’s not to say that we can’t criticize them for a pick because we don’t know everything about the process that went into it … it’s just, well, a little rant from me.
Alright, I’m outta here … headed to the race track … from one crap shoot to another : ) I’ll check back in way later tonight after the dust settles. Have fun with the rest of the draft, everyone!
1:47 am: Well, day 1 is over — Not surprisingly, to me at least, 8 of the 9 picks were college players. The only high schooler, Decker, sounds kind of interesting. Sounds like a good bat, bad field type.
By the way, Paul DePodesta pretty much “live blogged” the draft. Awesome …