In other words, too much for one post …
First of all, the Padres went down again last night. They now fall into a tie with the Phillies in the Wildcard race. Let’s take a look at Chris Young’s numbers before and after the injury:
Before: 118.6 inn, 114 k’s, 39 bb’s, 4 hr’s, 78 hits, 1.82 era
After: 43.3 inn, 43 k’s, 25 bb’s, 5 hr’s, 30 hits, 5.61 era
Clearly, he’s a different pitcher. However, the question becomes how, in my mind, how much of this decline is injury related and how much of it is simply regression. We should have expected Young to decline down the stretch, merely because he was so lucky early in the season. For instance, Young’s hr/fb rate was extremely low in the first half. That’s obviously jumped up of late, with 5 homers over the last 43.3 innings. That being said, there’s likely some injury related things going on here, as well. In the coming weeks I hope to tackle the question looking into the PITCHf/x data on Young (or maybe someone will do it before me). That should at least provide some preliminary answers into the question of why CY has declined so drastically. Whatever the case may be, he’ll be needed in his next start against the Brewers.
Yesterday the Padres may some roster moves, too. They traded for Astros Outfielder Jason Lane. Lane has struggled mightily this year, hitting .178/.257/.349 in 192 PA’s. He’s had some good year in the past, though, and at this point he’s another body thrown into the depleted outfield mix.
The Padres also called up Chase Headley and Drew Macias. Macias brings a pretty good defensive rep and provides some patience at the plate. FWIW, he has some problems trying to steal bases, whether it be lack of speed, acceleration, bad timing, etc. (John, Geoff, somebody who has seen him?). He’s 58 of 112 (52%) in his minor league career. Since his first year in rookie ball, he’s gone a horrible 43 for 93 (46%). Somebody put the brakes on this kid.
We all know about Chase Headley. For some reason, I think the Padres might try something here with Headley at 3b and Kouz in left (or the other way around). I have no idea if there’s anything to this, but it seems to make some sense.
Moving along, here’s a little column on Will Venable (hat tip: Ducksnorts). It looks like he’s going to play some center field in the Arizona Fall League. First of all, I have my doubts that he can handle center. In BA’s handbook, they said he has average speed and below average range. Anyway, if the Padres think he can handle center, then it’s a fine move. My question would be … why wait until know to make the switch?
Anyhow, when things are going bad in Padre Nation, it’s always nice to look over and see the Dodgers struggling. As the big favorite coming into the year (at least amongst the mainstream media), they’ve underachieved quite a bit and are sitting just 4 games over .500. Apparently, though, the Dodgers troubles don’t stop on the field.
Finally, a few notes on the blog. Yesterday, I got a 3 month subscription to Mad Friars. From what I knew about it before and from kicking around the site a little bit, it looks pretty awesome. It’s run by two guys (one being John Conniff, who has stopped by here : ), I believe, who have access to players, management, games, etc. Pretty awesome stuff if you’re at all interested in the minors. I recommend checking it out (even though I just finally subscribed). Being behind the pay-wall, I probably won’t be able to talk too much about their articles, but I’m sure some interesting discussion will emerge from them.
And on the blog … I’m going to keep this thing going all offseason, if anyone cares. Soon I plan on rolling out some “prospect profile” type posts where we’ll concentrate on an individual prospect. Also, I’m going to make another prospect list this year, so I’ll incorporate the process of that in with the blog (and I’ll tackle it a little more in-depth this time). I’ll keep rolling out some stuff with the PITCHf/x data, even if I don’t get a huge database downloaded. And we’ll have some playoff posts up (hopefully) and after that we’ll track everything the Padres do (or should do) in the offseason. If you stop by, please feel free to comment as much as you’d like. I created this place for that purpose. Thanks, as always, for stopping by.