9-16. 2.8 runs per game.
These are not good numbers.
I can make them uglier, if you’d like. By my count, the San Diego Padres have batted in 237 innings. Thanks to all the extra innings games, that actually equates to 26.3 full 9 inning games. New RS/G – 2.7.
Okay, not much uglier (how much worse can you get?). But the fact that the Padres have played 13 extra innings already and still have scored so little just emphasizes the point. The offense has been terrible. Like you-can’t-even-use-Petco-for-an-excuse terrible
The silver lining, of course, is the pitching. It’s been great, which has allowed the Padres to at least keep touch with the rest of the NL West.
Dustin Moseley won’t keep it up, but he’s been very good despite an ugly 1.4 K/BB ratio. Tim Stauffer, Aaron Harang, and Clayton Richard have all been solid in the rotation. Latos hasn’t, but he should be okay once he figures out how to stop giving up home runs.
The bullpen has been lights out, as usual. Mike Adams has allowed a solo homer in 12 innings. That’s about it. Ernesto Frieri has struck out 18 and walked three in 14.3 innings.
Offensively, as we’ve discussed, it’s been a struggle. Nick Hundley, Cameron Maybin, Chris Denorfia – they’ve been solid. Nobody else (with significant PAs) has an OPS+ above 94.
Brad Hawpe has four walks and 23 whiffs, which just about sums up his performance to date. Will Venable has one extra base hit (and only 12 singles) in 83 plate appearances. Jason Bartlett also has just one extra base hit. Eric Patterson has two hits (of any kind).
The good news – it can’t get any worse. At least not in the long-term. These guys are going to start hitting, at some point. If the Padres can keep pitching like this, they’ve got a chance.
Of course, regression to the mean giveth and taketh away. The pitching has been very good, but it will likely come back to Earth a little bit too.
Certainly, it’s been a tough month. Not all hope is lost, the outlook is just much worse. Even if we assume the Padres are still an 85 win team (.525%), and they play that way the rest of the way, they’ll still just barely check in at .500 on the season.
In other words, to win 90 games again and have a reasonable chance at the playoffs, this team has to win 59 percent of its remaining games.
Prognosis: not good.