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Bush shutting it down

According to the UT, it looks like Matt Bush is going to have major elbow surgery. Bush had 16 k’s and 2 bb’s in 7.3 innings in rookie ball. It’s about as impressive of a performance as you can expect … albeit in rookie ball and in 7 whopping  innings. Well, needless to say, this certainly doesn’t help any in Bush’s attempt to get back on the radar.

The other interesting thing from the article is this:

“General Manager Kevin Towers said Nick Schmidt, shut down this month because of an elbow injury, raised no health concerns before the Padres selected him 23rd overall in the draft in June and guaranteed him $1.29 million.”

I know it’s tough to question Towers with pitchers, but just take a look at Schmidt’s delivery. Let me say that  I don’t know much about pitching mechanics, however, that just doesn’t look like a very good delivery. Towers goes onto mention a doctor who thought Schmidt was “one of the healthier guys he had seen”. I have to believe that you don’t want to look at past health (or current health) when evaluating a young pitching prospect (I mean you do, but you have to go beyond that). You would want to estimate how his future health will be. That is, a doctor serves only a small role in examining the health of young pitchers (he can examine current health … but tell you nothing about the kids future from a mechanics standpoint). A scout, or a “mechanics expert” would probably make a lot more sense. Gomez is looking for a job …

Gomez on Kulbacki and Cumberland

Carlos Gomez has another article up analyzing some of this years draft picks. Carlos wasn’t too impressed with the Schmidt pick, but he liked these two picks a lot more! Here he is:

“Kulbacki’s approach and hand/bat position at footplant remind me of Rafael Palmeiro. Kulbacki has very good swing mechanics. He does a nice job of loading his hands and hips and then exploding through the ball. His swing has very little noise and it looks like he’ll be able to consistently make good contact. He’s another hitter who stays behind the ball very well. I like this pick here at 40. Good power potential.”

Yea, sounds pretty good. And on Cumberland:

“Simple swing, very little noise, good swing plane, a slight load of his hands, carries his hips forward well into footplant. In short, I like it quite a bit. Where Cumberland gets into trouble (and you see it in his game swings) is when he gets “pushy” with the hands instead of rotating his hips and his hands around a fixed axis of rotation. Because Cumberland’s main asset is his speed, my guess is that Cumberland has been taught to hit the ball on the ground and use his speed. “

I’ve thought about this with someone like Ichiro. People always talk about how he can hit home runs if he wants to or whatever. And I always wonder why he doesn’t try to do it. He always seems to be running out of the box, certainly in an even more exaggerated fashion than Cumberland. Ichiro is pretty successful doing his thing, but he’s a special guy. I wouldn’t think you would want to teach many players that type of approach (or even the approach that Gomez is describing), especially if they have some power potential (which it appears Cumberland does). I guess it depends on what the Padres developmental guys (and organization as a whole) want to do with Cumberland.

More on Nick Schmidt

When the Padres initially made this selection, I didn’t really like it. But that was mostly based upon the fact that Schmidt’s numbers, for a so called polished college hurler, weren’t overly impressive. Now, I’ll be the first to admit that unadjusted college numbers (although I did try to compare them to the rest of the Arkansas staff) are not the end-all-be-all when evaluating draft picks. Not even close.

But now Carlos Gomez – stathead, former pitcher, mechanics guru – comes by and criticizes Schmidt as well. And this is more from a scouting perspective. Here’s Gomez:

Schmidt has a painfully slow tempo, an abrupt finish and just takes forever to go through his delivery. In short, he’s a “tall and fall” guy all the way.

Did you catch how quickly Schmidt stops his arm after release? He slams on the brakes pretty quick… Schmidt? No thanks

Check out the link for video and more analysis. I also posted the link on the espn board where Gomez himself was nice enough to stop by and answer some questions. In short, I didn’t like the Schmidt pick yesterday and I like it even less today.

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